Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 18.129835 20.707645 23.654126 27.300360 31.731879 36.996046 43.802682
2025-07-27 14.381867 17.466556 21.302370 26.516093 33.568664 43.009565 57.026352
2025-08-03 12.839772 16.277463 20.816878 27.431566 37.152886 51.496377 75.500182
2025-08-10 11.350500 14.837102 19.645785 27.025890 38.588066 57.032992 91.186189
2025-08-17 10.216974 13.691739 18.658335 26.620165 39.800899 62.344539 108.220610
2025-08-24 9.362369 12.819980 17.918980 26.417097 41.212875 68.235052 128.577754
2025-08-31 8.539771 11.896574 16.972993 25.706866 41.566868 72.210986 146.565227
2025-09-07 7.937951 11.240436 16.356335 25.434115 42.619491 77.777130 170.890078
2025-09-14 7.231314 10.357278 15.282219 24.215035 41.642221 78.830998 184.146098
2025-09-21 6.599089 9.541228 14.241980 22.926321 40.306377 78.769963 194.371758
2025-09-28 6.150635 8.985113 13.584249 22.256062 40.115680 81.321192 214.151256
2025-10-05 6.352116 9.494916 14.773629 25.199925 48.151940 106.666989 331.962556
2025-10-12 6.178219 9.381232 14.891016 26.135046 52.105797 123.465402 440.525094
2025-10-19 5.782056 8.860719 14.231455 25.406903 51.981440 128.481570 501.874450
2025-10-26 5.635387 8.758789 14.327072 26.271201 56.018510 148.421421 679.054694
2025-11-02 5.346254 8.384190 13.875578 25.888104 56.728128 157.573900 808.461862
2025-11-09 5.083005 8.037921 13.448583 25.504838 57.365550 166.894183 963.939047
2025-11-16 4.863602 7.756402 13.123671 25.312971 58.514104 178.923863 1182.590944
2025-11-23 4.610282 7.397514 12.618583 24.641702 58.129688 184.579356 1358.865700
2025-11-30 4.419352 7.142741 12.302533 24.383824 58.955883 196.166750 1663.241707
2025-12-07 4.152351 6.732345 11.644691 23.230597 56.782879 192.953801 1748.434367
2025-12-14 3.895826 6.330463 10.982266 22.010368 54.219477 187.050933 1780.031551
2025-12-21 3.712197 6.057957 10.570304 21.375252 53.459253 190.020044 1998.150052